04 May 2018

Yankees Take Command: Ratings, Projections, Observations and Good Links for May 4

RPScore Top 5

The New York Yankees are (probably) the best team in baseball (right now). Meanwhile, the Arizona Diamondbacks have surged from the 10th spot to the fifth over the last month, and the Washington Nationals refuse to be weighed down by such pedestrian concepts as "wins," "losses" and "games back in their division."

Keep reading for projections, Good Links and a metric crap-ton of miscellaneous stats.

Projected AL Seeds:*
  1. New York Yankees (103 - 59)
  2. Houston Astros (98 - 64)
  3. Cleveland Indians (92 - 70)
  4. Boston Red Sox (100 - 62; 1st WC)
  5. Los Angeles Angels (86 - 76; 2nd WC)
  6. Seattle Mariners (85 - 77; 1st team out)

Projected NL Seeds:*
  1. Arizona Diamondbacks (96 - 66)
  2. Chicago Cubs (92 - 70)
  3. Washington Nationals (91 - 71)
  4. Atlanta Braves (90 - 72; 1st WC)
  5. St. Louis Cardinals (88 - 74; 2nd WC)
  6. Milwaukee Brewers (87 - 75; 1st team out)
*Margin of error (80% prediction interval): +/- 12.8 wins

Comments and Observations:
  • Minima and maxima to date:
    • Most hits by one team in one game: Oakland Athletics (21) vs. Los Angeles Dodgers on 4/11
    • Most walks by one team in one game: Athletics (12) vs. Chicago White Sox on 4/18
    • Most doubles by one team in one game: 7
      • Detroit Tigers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates on 3/30
      • Toronto Blue Jays vs. White Sox on 4/3
      • Chicago Cubs vs. Pirates on 4/11
    • Most triples by one team in one game: 2 (eight teams tied)
    • Most dingers in one game by one team: 6
      • White Sox vs. Kansas City Royals on Opening Day, 3/29
      • Red Sox vs. Angels on 4/17
    • Most bases stolen in one game by one team: 5
      • Nationals vs. New York Mets on 4/7
      • White Sox vs. Athletics on 4/18
      • Brewers vs. Cincinnati Reds on 4/30
    • Most times caught stealing in one game by one team: 3
      • Texas Rangers by the Athletics on 4/3
      • Indians by the Baltimore Orioles on 4/21
    • Most runs scored in one game by one team: Philadelphia Phillies (20) vs. Miami Marlins on 4/7
    • Most total runs scored in one game: 24
      • Reds at Minnesota Twins on 4/27
      • Toronto at Cleveland, yesterday, on 5/3
    • Greatest margin of victory: Phillies 20, Marlins 1 on 4/7
    • Most BaseRuns produced by one team in one game and greatest BaseRuns margin: Phillies 16.22, Marlins 1.03 on 4/7
    • Most total BaseRuns produced in one game: 25.33 on 4/27 (Reds 15.27, Twins 10.06)
    • Fewest BaseRuns produced by one team in one game: Red Sox (0.01) vs. Athletics in a no-hitter on 4/21
    • Fewest total BaseRuns produced in one game: Diamondbacks 0.37, San Francisco Giants 0.06 on 4/17
    • Narrowest BaseRuns margin: Marlins 4.40, Brewers 4.39 in a 6-5 Milwaukee win on 4/21
    • Most runs in a single day: 175 scored on 4/28
    • Most runs per game scored in a single day: 12.5, yesterday on 5/3
    • Most 10+ run performances in a single day: 7, yesterday on 5/3
    • Greatest mean margin of victory in a single day: 5.5 over eight games on 4/12
    • Narrowest mean margin of victory in a single day: 1.7 over 11 games on 3/30
    • Most one-run victories in a single day: 9 on 5/1
    • Most home wins in a single day: 12 on 4/21
    • Most away wins in a single day: 10 on 3/31, 4/17 and 4/20
  • The defending NL champion Los Angeles Dodgers have an above-average RPScore of .537 yet currently project to finish 12 games behind the Arizona Diamondbacks in the AL West, four games out of the NL Wild Card.
  • The Royals might have the worst RPScore, but the Orioles are the team projected to finish at the bottom with a 60-102 record.
  • The Red Sox project to finish with 100 wins. They would still need to play-in against an 86-win Angels team just to reach the ALDS.
  • The home team is .500 so far this season with a run differential of +16.

Good Links of April 2018:
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