
The Astros and Dodgers have taken very different paths to the World Series. The Dodgers have but one setback, a nigh-inconsequential game four loss to the Cubs in the NLCS. The Astros rode the rollercoaster of a back-and-forth ALCS against the Yankees before coming out on top in seven games.

An Astros win over the Yankees in seven games was the most likely outcome projected by my model at 17%.

The Astros face an uphill climb in the 2017 World Series, with the Dodgers 55-45% favorites. The most likely outcome is a Dodgers win in six games.

At no point this season did I think my model would be the one underrating the Dodgers, but the bettors think it is: Bovada has the Dodgers as 60-40% favorites at post time.
Stop by on Wednesday to see how my numbers change for the Astros and Dodgers.
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